San Diego Real Estate Transfer Tax Could Jump 5,500% - $46,000 Tax on $750K Home Sale
TL;DR: Proposed 5,500% Transfer Tax Increase Could Cost You $46,000
San Diego County is seeking legislative approval for a 5,500% transfer tax increase—from $0.55 to $30.55 per $500 in property value. On a $750,000 home, the tax would jump from $800 to $46,000. For a $1 million property, sellers would pay $61,100 instead of $1,100. The measure targets the 2026 ballot, creating an urgent decision window for homeowners. Cash buyers can close in 7-14 days, protecting you from this potential tax increase before it takes effect.
San Diego homeowners are facing a potential financial shock that could fundamentally change the economics of selling a home. A proposed real estate transfer tax increase targeting the 2026 ballot would raise the current tax from $0.55 per $500 in property value to $30.55 per $500—a staggering 5,500% increase that could cost sellers tens of thousands of dollars.
To put this in perspective: on a $750,000 home sale, the transfer tax would skyrocket from approximately $800 to nearly $46,000. For a $1 million property, sellers would pay $61,100 instead of $1,100. These numbers have created urgent conversations among San Diego homeowners about selling timelines and how to protect their equity from this potential tax burden.
According to the San Diego Union-Tribune, unions and nonprofits are organizing to place this measure on the 2026 ballot, creating a narrow window for homeowners who want to avoid the massive tax increase. For sellers in Pacific Beach, La Jolla, Ocean Beach, and throughout San Diego County, the question is no longer whether to sell, but when—and how quickly they can close before this tax potentially takes effect.
Understanding the Proposed Transfer Tax Increase
California's Revenue and Taxation Code currently authorizes counties to impose a documentary transfer tax at the rate of $0.55 for each $500 (or $1.10 per $1,000) of property value transferred. San Diego County, like most California counties, has maintained this baseline rate for decades.
The proposed increase would raise San Diego County's transfer tax to $30.55 per $500 in property value, according to a draft contract in a request for proposals from lobbyists. This represents one of the most aggressive transfer tax proposals in California history.
County Supervisor Terra Lawson-Remer has championed the measure, proposing what she describes as "a one-time small transfer fee on the sales of the top 1% of the county's properties" to fund affordable housing and homelessness programs. During her State of the County address in April 2025, Lawson-Remer stated that "Those with homes in the top 1% can pay for just a small share of that fortunate windfall when their property is sold to help break the stranglehold of our housing crisis."
However, critics note that the tax would apply far more broadly than just luxury properties. With San Diego's median home price hovering around $990,000 to $1,050,000 as of late 2025, many middle-class homeowners in neighborhoods like North Park, South Park, Hillcrest, and Clairemont would face substantial tax bills.
The proposal requires state legislative approval before it can appear on a county ballot, as it exceeds the standard transfer tax rate authorized under current California law. The county has reportedly sought lobbyists to help secure this authorization from Sacramento.
Breaking Down the Financial Impact by Home Value
The proposed transfer tax would dramatically increase the cost of selling a home in San Diego County. Here's how the numbers break down across different price points:
Transfer Tax Comparison
$500,000 Home:
- Current tax: $550
- Proposed tax: $30,550
- Increase: $30,000
$750,000 Home:
- Current tax: $825
- Proposed tax: $45,825
- Increase: $45,000
$1,000,000 Home:
- Current tax: $1,100
- Proposed tax: $61,100
- Increase: $60,000
$1,500,000 Home:
- Current tax: $1,650
- Proposed tax: $91,650
- Increase: $90,000
$2,000,000 Home:
- Current tax: $2,200
- Proposed tax: $122,200
- Increase: $120,000
For homeowners in La Jolla and Point Loma, where median prices exceed $2 million, the tax could represent more than $120,000 in additional closing costs. Even in more affordable areas like Tierrasanta, City Heights, and Allied Gardens, where homes typically sell for $600,000 to $800,000, sellers would face $30,000 to $50,000 in unexpected taxes.
Steve Schneider, a Tierrasanta homeowner quoted in the San Diego Union-Tribune, captured the frustration many residents feel: "On what planet would a nearly 5,500% increase in sales tax make sense?" He criticized ballot measures backed by public employee unions as representing "self-interests" and "a shell game to get more money for programs so money is freed up for union raises."
These amounts represent real equity that homeowners have built over years or decades—equity that could vanish overnight if the measure passes.
The Political Timeline: When Could This Tax Take Effect?
Understanding the timeline for this potential tax increase is critical for homeowners making selling decisions. Here's what we know about the political process:
Current Status (January 2026): The proposal is in the lobbying phase, with San Diego County seeking state legislative approval to exceed the standard transfer tax rate. According to public records from late December 2025, the county issued a request for proposals to hire lobbyists specifically for this purpose.
State Legislative Session (2026): The county needs authorization from the California Legislature to impose a transfer tax higher than the standard $0.55 per $500 rate. This would likely require a bill to be introduced, debated, and passed during the 2026 legislative session, which runs from January through August.
Ballot Placement (November 2026): If the Legislature grants authorization, the measure could appear on the November 2026 general election ballot. County measures require approval by the Board of Supervisors to be placed on the ballot, typically by an August deadline.
Implementation (2027): If voters approve the measure in November 2026, it would likely take effect sometime in 2027, following a standard implementation period for new tax policies.
However, this timeline contains significant uncertainty. The Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association is simultaneously pursuing a November 2026 ballot initiative called the "Local Taxpayer Protection Act to Save Prop 13," which would prohibit cities and counties from imposing real estate transfer taxes beyond the 0.11% cap set by Proposition 13. If both measures qualify for the same ballot and both pass, legal battles could ensue.
For homeowners planning to sell, this uncertainty creates a compelling case for acting sooner rather than later. Waiting to see the political outcome means risking exposure to a tax that could cost $40,000 to $60,000 or more.
Lessons from Los Angeles: The Measure ULA Warning
San Diego's proposed transfer tax closely mirrors Los Angeles' Measure ULA, commonly known as the "mansion tax," which passed in 2022 and provides a cautionary tale about unintended consequences.
Measure ULA imposed a 4% tax on property sales between $5 million and $10 million, and 5.5% on sales above $10 million. Proponents estimated it would generate $600 million to $1.1 billion annually for affordable housing. The reality has been dramatically different.
According to UCLA Lewis Center research, Measure ULA has raised roughly $480 million through December 2024—averaging just $288 million per year, less than half the lowest projections. Through its first 26 months, the tax brought in only $725 million, barely 60% of the minimum estimated revenue promised to voters.
More significantly, the tax devastated Los Angeles' real estate market:
- High-value property sales fell by approximately 50% over the first two years
- Building permits for multifamily projects dropped 60% from 2022 to 2024
- The city lost an estimated $25 million in annual property tax revenue due to decreased sales volume
- Conservatively, the tax has cost the city more than 1,900 new housing units annually
For every dollar raised by Measure ULA, the Los Angeles region could lose up to $1.38 in future property tax revenue, according to RAND Corporation analysis. The tax created perverse incentives, with sellers timing transactions to avoid the tax and projects being cancelled or relocated to neighboring cities.
San Diego homeowners considering their options should study Los Angeles' experience carefully. While the stated goal of funding affordable housing is laudable, the practical effect has been to reduce housing supply, decrease tax revenue, and punish homeowners who need to sell.
Vista Mayor John Franklin voiced opposition to San Diego's proposal, calling it "an outrageous proposal to say we're going to raise a billion dollars in new taxes, massively expand government without even having a specific scope and plan for how we're going to spend that money."
The Urgency Window: Why Selling Now Protects Your Equity
For San Diego homeowners who have been considering selling within the next 12 to 24 months, the proposed transfer tax creates an urgent decision point. The financial mathematics are straightforward: every month you wait increases the risk of losing $40,000 to $60,000 or more of your home equity to this new tax.
Consider these common scenarios:
Pre-Retirees Planning to Downsize: If you own a $1.2 million home in University Heights or Normal Heights and plan to downsize in the next year or two, waiting could cost you $72,000 in transfer taxes. That's significant retirement capital—enough to fund years of travel or supplement Social Security benefits.
Inherited Property Owners: Many San Diego residents have inherited properties from parents or relatives. If you're holding an inherited home in Mission Valley or Bay Park while deciding whether to sell or rent, the proposed tax makes the decision more urgent. A $900,000 inherited property would incur a $54,000 tax—money that would otherwise go to you and your siblings. Learn more about selling inherited property in San Diego.
Homeowners Considering Relocation: Whether you're moving for work, to be closer to family, or to a more affordable area, the transfer tax could consume a substantial portion of your relocation budget. The difference between an $800 tax and a $46,000 tax on a $750,000 home sale is the difference between a comfortable move and a financial setback.
Investors and Landlords: Investment property owners evaluating whether to hold or sell face particularly difficult calculations. If the measure passes, selling will become dramatically more expensive, potentially trapping capital in properties you'd prefer to liquidate.
San Diego's current market conditions actually favor sellers who act decisively. With 4,683 active listings countywide as of late December 2025 and median days on market around 43-49 days, the market remains balanced. Home prices are projected to appreciate 1% to 3% in 2026, suggesting stable conditions without the urgency of a rapidly falling market.
The real risk isn't market depreciation—it's political change. Once the transfer tax passes (if it does), there's no going back. Your only option will be to pay the tax or not sell.
Cash Buyer Advantage: 7-14 Day Closings vs. Traditional 45-60 Day Sales
If protecting your equity from the proposed transfer tax is a priority, your timeline for closing becomes critical. This is where the difference between traditional sales and cash buyer transactions becomes dramatic.
Traditional Sale Timeline (45-80 Days):
- Home preparation and repairs: 1-3 weeks
- Listing and marketing: 1-2 weeks
- Showings and negotiations: 2-6 weeks
- Buyer's mortgage approval: 3-5 weeks
- Inspection contingencies and repairs: 1-2 weeks
- Final closing: 1 week
- Total: 45-80 days minimum
In San Diego's current market, homes are taking an average of 80 days to complete the sale process when working with traditional buyers who need financing. The median time on market is 41 days before going under contract, plus another 35-40 days for mortgage approval and closing.
Cash Buyer Timeline (7-14 Days):
- Property evaluation: 24-48 hours
- Cash offer presented: 1-2 days
- Acceptance and contract: 1 day
- Title and escrow: 5-10 days
- Closing: 1 day
- Total: 7-14 days
Cash home buyers like San Diego Fast Cash Home Buyer can close in as little as 7 to 14 days because they eliminate the most time-consuming elements of traditional sales:
- No financing contingencies or mortgage approval delays
- No appraisal requirements that could derail the deal
- No buyer demands for repairs or credits
- No showing appointments or open houses
- No uncertainty about whether the deal will close
If political developments move quickly and the transfer tax measure gains momentum, that 60-day difference between a traditional sale and a cash sale could mean the difference between paying $800 and paying $46,000 in transfer taxes. Learn more about how long it takes to sell a house in San Diego.
While you'll typically receive 70% to 90% of market value (depending on property condition and market factors), the speed and certainty can outweigh the discount, particularly when facing time-sensitive circumstances. In the context of a potential $40,000 to $60,000 transfer tax, even a modest discount to secure a fast closing could result in significantly more net proceeds.
What Homeowners Should Do Now to Protect Their Equity
Given the uncertainty surrounding the proposed transfer tax, San Diego homeowners should take proactive steps to understand their options and protect their financial interests:
1. Get a Current Property Valuation
Understanding your home's current market value helps you calculate exactly how much the proposed transfer tax would cost you. With San Diego home prices varying significantly by neighborhood—from $660,000 median for condos to $1,050,000 for single-family homes—knowing where you stand is essential.
2. Calculate Your Tax Exposure
Multiply your estimated sale price by 0.0611 (6.11%) to determine your potential transfer tax under the proposed increase. For example, a $900,000 home would face a $54,990 tax. Compare this to your current tax of $990 (0.11%) to understand what's at stake.
3. Request a No-Obligation Cash Offer
Even if you're not certain about selling, getting a cash offer gives you a concrete option if political developments accelerate. Reputable cash buyers provide offers within 24-48 hours with no obligation to accept.
4. Evaluate Your Timeline
If you were planning to sell within the next 1-2 years anyway, moving up your timeline by 6-12 months to avoid a potential $40,000-$60,000 tax increase makes financial sense for most homeowners.
5. Consult with Tax and Legal Professionals
The proposed transfer tax could have implications for estate planning, 1031 exchanges, and other tax strategies. Professional guidance can help you make informed decisions.
6. Monitor Political Developments
Track news about the transfer tax proposal, state legislative action, and ballot qualification. The San Diego Union-Tribune, Voice of San Diego, and other local news sources will provide updates as the situation develops.
7. Consider the Certainty Factor
In uncertain political environments, the certainty of closing a sale before a major tax increase can be more valuable than waiting to potentially capture a few percentage points of additional appreciation.
For homeowners in communities like Del Cerro, San Carlos, College Area, and throughout San Diego County's service areas, the key is having a plan before political events force your hand. The homeowners who will fare best are those who understand their options and can execute quickly if needed.
Frequently Asked Questions
What exactly is the proposed San Diego real estate transfer tax increase?
The proposed transfer tax would increase the current rate from $0.55 per $500 of property value (or $1.10 per $1,000) to $30.55 per $500—a 5,500% increase. This tax is paid by the seller at closing when property ownership transfers. For example, on a $750,000 home sale, the tax would jump from approximately $800 to nearly $46,000. The measure is being pushed by county unions and nonprofits targeting the 2026 ballot, with stated goals of funding affordable housing and homelessness programs. However, the proposal requires state legislative approval before it can be placed on the county ballot.
When would the proposed transfer tax take effect if it passes?
The timeline involves several steps and contains significant uncertainty. First, the San Diego County Board of Supervisors needs the California Legislature to authorize a transfer tax rate higher than the standard $0.55 per $500 allowed under current law. If approved by the Legislature in 2026, the measure could appear on the November 2026 ballot. If voters approve it, implementation would likely occur in 2027, following a standard period for establishing administrative procedures. However, competing ballot initiatives, including the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association's measure to cap transfer taxes at Prop 13 levels, could complicate this timeline. The key point for homeowners is that once the tax takes effect, all sales after that date would be subject to the higher rate.
Does the transfer tax only apply to luxury homes and mansions?
No, despite being marketed as a tax on "the top 1%" or high-value properties, the proposed tax would apply to all home sales in San Diego County above $100 (which is essentially all sales). While County Supervisor Terra Lawson-Remer has characterized it as affecting only expensive properties, the reality is different. With San Diego's median home price around $990,000 to $1,050,000, middle-class homeowners across the county would face substantial tax bills. A $600,000 home in City Heights would incur a $36,600 tax. A $850,000 home in Clairemont would face a $52,000 tax. Even modest condos selling for $500,000 would be hit with a $30,550 tax. The tax makes no distinction based on property type, seller income, or whether the property is a primary residence or investment.
How does a cash buyer help me avoid the proposed transfer tax?
Cash buyers provide speed and certainty that can help you close before the tax takes effect. Traditional home sales in San Diego take 45-80 days on average, involving listing periods, buyer mortgage approval, inspections, and potential delays. Cash buyers can close in 7-14 days because they eliminate financing contingencies, appraisal requirements, and repair negotiations. If political momentum builds and the measure progresses toward the ballot faster than expected, that 60-day difference could be critical. For example, if you list traditionally in August 2026 expecting a 60-day closing, but the measure passes in November and takes effect before your sale closes, you could be stuck paying the higher tax. A cash buyer who can close in early September guarantees you avoid that risk. The certainty of a quick closing is especially valuable when tens of thousands of dollars in potential taxes are at stake.
What happened with Los Angeles' similar mansion tax?
Los Angeles' Measure ULA, which passed in 2022, provides a cautionary example of unintended consequences. The measure imposed a 4% tax on sales between $5-10 million and 5.5% above $10 million. While proponents promised $600 million to $1.1 billion annually for affordable housing, the tax has actually generated only $288 million per year on average—less than half the lowest projections. More significantly, high-value property sales fell by 50%, building permits for multifamily projects dropped 60%, and the city lost $25 million in annual property tax revenue due to decreased transaction volume. According to RAND Corporation analysis, for every dollar raised by the tax, Los Angeles could lose up to $1.38 in future property tax revenue. The tax also reduced housing supply by more than 1,900 units annually, ironically worsening the very housing crisis it was meant to solve. San Diego homeowners should expect similar market disruptions if the county's proposal passes.
Can I sell now and still get a fair price in San Diego's current market?
Yes, San Diego's current market conditions remain stable and balanced for sellers. As of late December 2025, there are 4,683 active listings countywide, with homes selling after a median of 41-49 days on market. Prices are projected to appreciate 1-3% in 2026, reflecting a healthy market without the extremes of rapid appreciation or decline. Single-family home prices reached a median of $1,050,000, while condos are around $660,000. While selling to a cash buyer typically results in receiving 70-90% of retail market value (depending on property condition and other factors), you save on agent commissions (typically 5-6%), avoid repair costs, eliminate carrying costs during lengthy listing periods, and gain certainty about closing. Most importantly in the current environment, you protect yourself from a potential $40,000-$60,000 transfer tax increase. When you factor in all costs and risks, many homeowners find that a cash sale nets them similar or better proceeds than a traditional sale—especially when time-sensitive factors are at play.
What happens if I'm already under contract when the tax takes effect?
Transfer taxes are typically assessed based on the recording date of the deed, not the contract signing date or escrow opening date. This means that if you sign a purchase agreement before the tax increase takes effect but the sale doesn't record until after, you could be subject to the higher tax rate. This creates significant risk for traditional sales that take 45-80 days to close. If the November 2026 ballot measure passes and takes effect in early 2027, any sale that hasn't recorded by the effective date would likely be subject to the new tax—even if you opened escrow months earlier. This is another advantage of cash sales with 7-14 day closings: the entire transaction, including recording, can be completed in under two weeks, eliminating this timing risk. If you're concerned about this scenario, consult with a real estate attorney or escrow officer about your specific situation and whether any protections or grandfathering provisions might apply.
Are there any exemptions to the proposed transfer tax?
The specific details of exemptions have not been fully disclosed, as the measure is still in the proposal and lobbying phase. California's current documentary transfer tax law includes exemptions for certain transfers, such as gifts, transfers between spouses, certain government transfers, and transfers where no consideration is paid. However, standard exemptions typically don't help ordinary homeowners selling for market value. Los Angeles' Measure ULA did not include exemptions for primary residences, length of ownership, seller income, or other factors that might protect middle-class homeowners. Unless San Diego's proposal specifically includes such exemptions—and there's no indication it will—all sellers would be subject to the full tax regardless of their circumstances. Advocates have framed the tax as affecting only wealthy sellers, but the reality is that it would apply broadly across all property types and sale prices.
Should I wait to see if the measure fails before deciding to sell?
That depends on your personal circumstances, risk tolerance, and timeline, but the financial mathematics suggest caution about waiting. If you were planning to sell within the next 1-2 years anyway, waiting to see the political outcome is a high-stakes gamble. If the measure passes, you'll lose $40,000-$60,000 or more in equity overnight with no recourse. If the measure fails, you'll have sold slightly earlier than planned in a stable market with 1-3% projected appreciation. The asymmetric risk—potentially losing tens of thousands versus potentially missing a few thousand in appreciation—favors acting sooner. Additionally, political processes can move quickly and unpredictably. While the measure requires state legislative approval and voter passage, Los Angeles' Measure ULA received 58% support despite significant opposition, demonstrating that these taxes can and do pass. For homeowners with significant equity at stake, the prudent approach is to get a cash offer now, understand your options, and be prepared to act quickly if political momentum builds.
How do I get started with a cash offer for my San Diego home?
Getting a cash offer from San Diego Fast Cash Home Buyer is straightforward and puts you under no obligation. Simply call us at (619) 777-1314 or visit www.sd-cash-buyer.com and provide basic information about your property—address, approximate square footage, number of bedrooms and bathrooms, and current condition. We'll typically schedule a brief property visit (often the same day or next day) to assess the home in person. Within 24-48 hours, we'll present you with a no-obligation cash offer. If you accept, we can close in as little as 7-14 days—or on whatever timeline works best for you. There are no fees, no commissions, no repair requirements, and no obligation to accept our offer. Many homeowners get cash offers simply to understand their options and have a backup plan if political developments with the transfer tax accelerate. Given what's at stake with the proposed tax increase, having a cash offer in hand provides valuable peace of mind and financial certainty.
Conclusion: Acting Before the Window Closes
San Diego's proposed 5,500% real estate transfer tax increase represents one of the most significant potential changes to homeownership economics in California history. For a homeowner with a $750,000 property, the difference between selling before and after this tax takes effect is $45,000—real money that could fund retirement, education, or a fresh start.
While the political process contains uncertainties and the measure may ultimately fail, the risk-reward calculation favors action for homeowners who were already considering selling. The Los Angeles experience with Measure ULA demonstrates that these "mansion taxes" can and do pass, often with unintended consequences that hurt middle-class homeowners.
The advantage of cash buyers in this environment is clear: speed and certainty. When facing a potential tax increase that could cost tens of thousands of dollars, the ability to close in 7-14 days rather than 45-80 days isn't just convenient—it's financially essential.
San Diego Fast Cash Home Buyer has helped hundreds of San Diego homeowners navigate time-sensitive situations, from probate sales to foreclosure avoidance to pre-divorce property division. We understand the urgency that San Diego homeowners face with this proposed transfer tax, and we're here to provide a fast, fair, and certain path to closing.
Don't wait until the ballot measure passes and the window closes. By then, it will be too late to protect your equity. Contact us today for a no-obligation cash offer and see exactly how much you could save by acting now rather than waiting to see what happens in Sacramento and at the ballot box.
Call (619) 777-1314 or visit www.sd-cash-buyer.com to get your free cash offer within 24 hours. When thousands of dollars in equity are on the line, every day counts.
Sources & Citations
- San Diego Union-Tribune - Size of proposed increase in real estate sales tax is staggering
- San Diego Union-Tribune - Unions, nonprofits team up to get countywide half-cent hike on 2026 ballot
- HomeLight - San Diego Transfer Tax Guide
- Luxury SoCal Realty - San Diego Real Estate Market Statistics
- UCLA Lewis Center - LA's Mansion Tax Has Raised Less Money Than Expected
- RAND Corporation - LA's Mansion Tax Needs a Remodel
- ABC10 - California Tax Group Prop 13 Initiative
- CBS8 - San Diego Supervisor Terra Lawson-Remer Proposed Tax Measures Face Opposition
- List with Clever - Average Time to Sell a House in San Diego
- HomeLight - Sell My House for Cash San Diego